Joe Warren
Market Update 11/10/23
Don’t look now, but prices are FALLING! Oil is down 17% in the last three months. The 10-year treasury rate has fallen 50 basis points in...
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Joe Warren
- Oct 20
- 2 min
Market Update 10/20/23
The 8% Mortgage Today the 30-year mortgage rate hit 8%, the highest level in 23 years! Just two years ago, the 30-year mortgage was 3%,...
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Joe Warren
- Sep 25
- 2 min
Market Update 9/25/23
Headwinds The third quarter tends to be challenging for the stock market and 2023 is proving no different. A bevy of headwinds lurk and...
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Joe Warren
- Aug 17
- 2 min
Market Update 8/17/23
Headwinds For the first time in 15 years, the bond market is offering “real return”, which subtracts taxes and inflation from interest. ...
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Joe Warren
- Jul 31
- 1 min
Market Update 7/31/23
In my May 2023 Market Update, I stated that a “soft landing” is upon us, and incoming data since then has confirmed such. The economy...
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Joe Warren
- May 25
- 1 min
Market Update 5/25/23
As Registered Investment Advisors, we are tasked with generating “real return”, which is calculated by subtracting inflation from the...
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Joe Warren
- May 3
- 2 min
Market Update 5/3/23
Remarkably, three of the largest bank failures in U.S. history occurred in the year's first five months. First Republic, Silicon Valley,...
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Joe Warren
- Mar 28
- 2 min
Market Update 3/28/23
We are simple, logical thinkers here at Warcap, which may be boring at times. But our process is reliable, especially in times of chaos. ...
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Joe Warren
- Mar 13
- 2 min
Market Update 3/13/23
My commentary on Friday stirred some thoughts by many readers and the weekend proved to be a wild one in finance. So, here’s the update...
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Joe Warren
- Mar 10
- 2 min
Market Update 3/10/23
I’ve been managing money for 26 years and there have been few times during that period when the economic picture has been so complex. ...
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Joe Warren
- Feb 17
- 2 min
Market Update 2/17/23
Markets were off to a roaring start for the first month of the year as both bonds and stocks rallied. The assumption that inflation was...
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Joe Warren
- Dec 30, 2022
- 1 min
Market Update 12/30/22
Nearly every money manager in the industry would state that we are all happy to have 2022 behind us. Inflation engulfed savings and...
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Joe Warren
- Nov 17, 2022
- 3 min
Market Update 11/17/2022
Have Rates Peaked? October CPI was released and the monthly print was finally lower than anticipated coming in at 0.4% versus the...
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Joe Warren
- Oct 28, 2022
- 2 min
Market Update 10/28/2022
Third quarter GDP flashed green for the first time since last year as it grew 2.6%, following two consecutive quarters of negative growth....
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Joe Warren
- Sep 27, 2022
- 1 min
Market Update 9/27/22
Inflection points in markets are hard to recognize and allocating money to out of consensus positions is a tough trade. But very few...
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WARCAP
- Sep 6, 2022
- 1 min
Market Update 9/7/22
At the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium in August, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told investors he is committed to fighting...
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Joe Warren
- Aug 22, 2022
- 1 min
Market Update 8/22/22
The highlight of economic news this week will be Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Friday at the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole Summit. In...
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Joe Warren
- Aug 1, 2022
- 1 min
Market Update 8/1/22
The last week of July was filled with economic activity. As I predicted in my May commentary, the U.S. was in a recession during the...
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Joe Warren
- Jul 18, 2022
- 1 min
Market Update 7/18/22
As I suggested in my last update, the last bastion of inflated assets finally tumbled as oil is down over 20% in the last six weeks. ...
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Joe Warren
- Jul 1, 2022
- 1 min
Market Update 7/1/22
The first half of 2022 marked to worst loss for the stock market since 1970 with the S&P 500 retreating 21%. That was coupled with an...
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